Friday, March 5, 2010
On the Money
Wells Fargo investment strategist Paulsen says to public: Cheer up
San Francisco Business Times - by Mark Calvey
The American public is too pessimistic as the 2008 financial crisis has led to a nation on bubble watch, said Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at Wells Capital Management, part of Wells Fargo.
Paulsen sees reason for hope where others find trouble. For example, he views the number of people thinking the nation is on the “wrong track” as a sign that the stock market could move higher based on investors’ low expectations for the future. He also believes companies have purged payrolls, inventories and capital spending in anticipation of another great depression that hasn’t materialized. (Of course, there’s a camp that expects Wall Street to crash as more bubbles burst, which underscores Paulsen’s main point that people are too negative.)
Paulsen actually sees prospects of the Fed tightening as a potential positive.
“The ‘zero’ Fed funds rate has been ‘psychologically’ damaging to national sentiment like no other Fed policy in the postwar era,” Paulsen recently told clients. He anticipates the Fed raising short-term rates by one-quarter to one-half percentage point in the next few months.
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